Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.5#27
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#28
Pace68.8#132
Improvement+4.0#44

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#27
Improvement-0.8#206

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#55
Improvement+4.7#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 23.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.5% n/a n/a
Second Round55.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen18.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.2% n/a n/a
Final Four2.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 81   Lehigh W 86-77 80%     1 - 0 +11.7 +10.3 +1.0
  Nov 15, 2011 130   @ Drake L 65-74 71%     1 - 1 -3.1 -4.8 +2.0
  Nov 20, 2011 234   Western Carolina W 92-60 95%     2 - 1 +24.3 +16.6 +8.6
  Nov 22, 2011 254   Northern Colorado W 90-82 96%     3 - 1 -1.0 +8.2 -9.2
  Nov 25, 2011 121   Providence W 64-54 79%     4 - 1 +13.2 +3.4 +11.9
  Nov 26, 2011 145   Rice W 90-63 82%     5 - 1 +28.6 +19.3 +9.2
  Nov 30, 2011 89   Northern Iowa L 62-69 81%     5 - 2 -4.9 -2.8 -2.9
  Dec 03, 2011 23   @ Michigan L 66-76 34%     5 - 3 +5.9 -1.2 +7.1
  Dec 06, 2011 330   Prairie View W 84-59 99%     6 - 3 +8.6 +5.0 +2.4
  Dec 09, 2011 91   Iowa W 86-76 82%     7 - 3 +12.0 +9.9 +2.0
  Dec 18, 2011 247   Central Michigan W 59-52 96%     8 - 3 -1.4 -9.7 +9.2
  Dec 21, 2011 216   Lipscomb W 81-64 94%     9 - 3 +10.6 +2.1 +7.9
  Dec 31, 2011 243   Mississippi Valley W 67-65 96%     10 - 3 -6.2 -15.0 +8.7
  Jan 04, 2012 25   Texas W 77-71 63%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +14.2 +4.3 +9.7
  Jan 07, 2012 104   @ Texas A&M W 74-50 64%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +31.9 +12.3 +21.0
  Jan 11, 2012 6   Missouri L 69-76 37%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +7.9 +0.1 +7.5
  Jan 14, 2012 5   @ Kansas L 73-82 17%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +12.8 +2.5 +11.3
  Jan 18, 2012 90   Oklahoma St. W 71-68 81%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +5.0 +7.7 -2.3
  Jan 21, 2012 220   @ Texas Tech W 76-52 85%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +24.2 +7.2 +17.2
  Jan 24, 2012 25   @ Texas L 55-62 37%     14 - 6 4 - 3 +8.0 -9.8 +17.6
  Jan 28, 2012 5   Kansas W 72-64 37%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +23.0 +6.7 +16.3
  Jan 31, 2012 21   Kansas St. W 72-70 58%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +11.5 +12.0 -0.3
  Feb 04, 2012 96   @ Oklahoma W 77-70 62%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +15.5 +13.4 +2.5
  Feb 07, 2012 90   @ Oklahoma St. L 67-69 60%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +6.8 +2.7 +4.0
  Feb 11, 2012 104   Texas A&M W 69-46 84%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +24.1 +4.2 +21.5
  Feb 13, 2012 11   @ Baylor L 64-79 26%     18 - 8 8 - 5 +3.2 +7.0 -5.8
  Feb 18, 2012 96   Oklahoma W 80-69 82%     19 - 8 9 - 5 +12.7 +4.1 +8.0
  Feb 22, 2012 220   Texas Tech W 72-54 94%     20 - 8 10 - 5 +11.4 +7.5 +5.9
  Feb 25, 2012 21   @ Kansas St. W 65-61 32%     21 - 8 11 - 5 +20.3 +8.0 +12.8
  Feb 29, 2012 6   @ Missouri L 72-78 17%     21 - 9 11 - 6 +15.7 +0.7 +15.3
  Mar 03, 2012 11   Baylor W 80-72 51%     22 - 9 12 - 6 +19.4 +8.9 +10.3
  Mar 08, 2012 25   Texas L 65-71 50%     22 - 10 +5.6 -2.9 +8.4
Projected Record 22.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 98.5% 98.5% 7.3 0.2 5.8 17.0 30.8 30.4 12.2 1.8 0.1 1.5 98.5%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 98.5% 0.0% 98.5% 7.3 0.2 5.8 17.0 30.8 30.4 12.2 1.8 0.1 1.5 98.5%